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Most Recent Audio: 19 June 2019

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2019 Audio Archive

June 2019

Audio Date Play Save Content Duration
19-06-2019 Save Fed tees up an interest cut, gold closes above $1350, stock and bonds firm, Dollar weak, downward pressure on interest rates increases the potenital for a bubble to evolve. 21:36mins Back to top
18-06-2019 Save prospect of a Euro carry trade drives renewed speculative interest in stocks and commodities, bonds ease, 19:05mins Back to top
17-06-2019 Save Bond market volatility surging but bonds are overbought, bitcoin surges on Hong Kong protests, Wall Street steady, Dollar and gold steady ahead of Fed meeting 21:35mins Back to top
14-06-2019 Save Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes 40:22mins Back to top
13-06-2019 Save Dow/Oil ratio, bubble risk on the realisation we already reside in a modern monetary theory world. commodity related stock markets outperforming, Dollar steady, gold firm, 18:13mins Back to top
12-06-2019 Save HIBOR-LIBOR moves, highly leveraged companies underperforming, stock market steady, Dollar and gold steady, oil weak, Unconventional oil a true gamechanger 18:47mins Back to top
11-06-2019 Save China moves to ease lending standards, supports the stock market and the currency, Wall Street pauses. gold, copper, lumber and corn steady, oil weak. Europe, India and ASEAN steady. Dollar steady but susceptible to additional weakness. 15:33mins Back to top
10-06-2019 Save Wall Street extends rally but fails to hold intraday high, Treasuries susceptible to some consolidation, Gold and precious metals pause, oil weak, Dollar eases, Rand and Peso steady, Renminbi breaks downwards from its short-term range, 23:01mins Back to top
07-06-2019 Save Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes 1h Back to top
05-06-2019 Save ADP new jobs report pulls back sharply, Dollar pulls back from its intraday peak, stock and bond market steady,, oil extends pullback, gold tests its high for the year before easing. 16:41mins Back to top
04-06-2019 Save Fed signals it is listening to the messages being sent by the bond market, Wall Street rebounds, Dollar eases, Europe bouncing led by banks, gold steady, oil quiet, China eases and India pauses, Treasuries pause. 24:37mins Back to top
03-06-2019 Save China's regional banks represent an understated but large risk to the economy, gold follows through on the upside, FAANG shares lead on the downside, Treasuries at the first area of potenital resistance if the trend is to remain consistent. Dollar eases and European stock markets at potential support with Germany steadying. 20mins Back to top

May 2019

Audio Date Play Save Content Duration
31-05-2019 Save Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes 1h Back to top
30-05-2019 Save Crude oil pulls back to break its uptrend, grains and beans steady, iron ore at a new high, Wall Street steady, Treasuries firm, review of recession lead indicators and long-term moving averages. 25:47mins Back to top
29-05-2019 Save global sovereign yield compression, need for the Fed to cut rate soon, Wall Street in the region of its trend mean, oil and gold stable. grains ease from intraday highs, rare earth metals surging, Dollar firm, 25:10mins Back to top
28-05-2019 Save Treasuries extend breakout, Wall Street ease back to test their MAs, golds eases, oil steady, grains breaking out, Italian yields subject to selling pressure, Euro weak, South African Rand weak, China and India steady 25:04mins Back to top
27-05-2019 Save Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes 54.10mins Back to top
23-05-2019 Save Whiff of risk off in the market with China related instruments taking the brunt of selling. Treasuries, yen and gold steady, Wall Street testing the region of the trend mean, Oil pulls back sharply to break its uptrend. 24:28mins Back to top
22-05-2019 Save buybacks continue to support markets but are dependent on earnings growth, Australia, New Zealand continue to trend higher supported by weak currencies, China pauses, Oil weak, gold steady, bonds trending higher. 25.23mins Back to top
21-05-2019 Save Brazil bounces, Australia extends gain, China and US steady, Europe steady. Euro eases, Pound extended decline, industrial resources ease. 22:30mins Back to top
20-05-2019 Save India elections favour Modi, Australian elections favour commodoties, Trade War intensifies, Semiconductors pull back, Europe weak, oil and gold steady, Treasuries ease, VIX steady. 19:46mins Back to top
17-05-2019 Save Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes 54:55mins Back to top
16-05-2019 Save bitcoin pauses, gold pulls back, Dollar strong, stock markets steady, bond ease, monetary policy beats most other factors most of the time. defensives outperforming. 18:50mins Back to top
15-05-2019 Save Alt-coins break out, bitcoin still firm, stock markets rebound from the region of their respecitve trend means, Treasuries remain firm, Gundlach believes MMT inevitable, I agree, 21:39mins Back to top
13-05-2019 Save Trade War Intensifies, stocks extend pullback, Dollar, Yen, Treasuries and gold firm, potential for a stagfltionary environment if tariffs are extended to all Chinese imports, oil reverses early gain but grains and beans reverse early loss, Asian and commodity currencies weak. 23:27mins Back to top
10-05-2019 Save Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes 55:17mins Back to top
09-05-2019 Save Wall Street and junk bonds rally off their intraday lows, grains and beans testing potential areas of support. Still a great deal of uncertainty about the outcome of trade negotiations, 22:23mins Back to top
08-05-2019 Save Wall Street pauses, Dollar weakens against the Real and Rand, China banks weak, natural gas, coffee deeply oversold, Velocity of money turned up ahead of the Fed reducing the size of its balance sheet. treasuries and gold fail to hold intraday rallies. 19:08mins Back to top
07-05-2019 Save Trade War escalates contributing to some profit taking and further consolidation of recent strong gains, gold steady, bitcoin strong, oil eases, bonds firm, China steady following reserve requirement cut, 20:48mins Back to top
06-05-2019 Save China sold off aggressively but Wall Street takes trade brinksmanship in its stride, Treasuries ease, upside key reversals on both oil and copper, tin very oversold, 19:23mins Back to top
03-05-2019 Save Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes 51 mins Back to top
02-05-2019 Save Correlation between rate cuts and stock market stress, central bank balance sheet and fiscal stimulus indicators, Dollar firm, bonds ease, Wall Street pauses, industrial resources and gold ease further. 22:50mins Back to top
01-05-2019 Save Fed statement is neutral but the market had hoped for a sooner end to quantitative tightening. stocks and bonds ease, copper pulls back sharply, Dollar steady, gold stable, oil steady, 20:39mins Back to top

April 2019

Audio Date Play Save Content Duration
30-04-2019 Save Some of the topics covered include: Google pulls back, Microsoft accelerating, IPOs queuing up, bond yields compress, Wall Street steady in the region of its peaks, gold and oil stable, Dollar eases, Pound appreciates. 24:30mins Back to top
29-04-2019 Save Lyft finds support but a lot of additional supply is primed to hit the market with Uber and WeWork listing, Wall Street at a new all-time high but short-term overbought, China banks steady, India firms, palladium pulls back sharply, oil steady, gold eases, bonds ease. 29:09mins Back to top
26-04-2019 Save Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes 51.02mins Back to top
25-04-2019 Save Fed adjusting inflation measures as a future justification for stimulus, Wall Street pauses, Tech continues to outperform, oil eases, Dollar, Yen firm, gold steady. 20;05mins Back to top
24-04-2019 Save Euro breaks to new lows, Australian Dollar tests 70 cents, Yen at a new reaction low. Wall Street steady, gold firms, lumber upside key reversal. 29:39mins Back to top
23-04-2019 Save Wall Street hits new all-time highs, Oil firms, Europe extends advance, China and India pause, Renminbi weakens, Treasuries steady 23:06mins Back to top
19-04-2019 Save Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes 37:27mins Back to top
18-04-2019 Save Nasdaq-100 makes a new high and is led higher by semiconductors, India also hit a new high, Indonesia firms and China holds its gain, Europe looks to be a on a recovery trajectory, bonds ease, oil and gold quiet, 22.46mins Back to top
16-04-2019 Save Probablity of consolidation ahead of a breakout, globally oriented consumer companies leading on the upside. gold and bonds ease, oil steady, Netflix is at risk of further pullback. semiconductors and resources shares turning to outperformance, 27:54mins Back to top
15-04-2019 Save China consolidating, India and Indonesia steady, Wall Street paused, European periphery leading on the upside, gold pauses, oil due to pause, high yield spreads contract below the trend mean, Treasuries quiet. 22:44mins Back to top
12-04-2019 Save Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes 58:55mins Back to top
11-04-2019 Save gold falters, oil eases, Wall Street quiet, China pauses, india manufacturing taking off, bonds steady, cyclicals should start to perform. 26:12mins Back to top
10-04-2019 Save Nasdaq-100 Equal Weight Index hitting new highs, Bond yields compress, China firm, Europe steady, MDAX has broken through psychological 25,000, gold and oil steady with resources shares extending adbances. 25:11mins Back to top
09-04-2019 Save Wall Street due some consolidation, Modern Monetary Theory is already with us, gold steadies, Treasuries steady, China pauses but India and Indonesia firm. 25:27mins Back to top
08-04-2019 Save Continued evidence of slowing global economic activity but the market continues to price in the potential for easing and a successful resolution to the trade war. cyclicals like oil, copper, gold, semiconductors and biotech continue to rally. Mexico rallies, Wall Street somewhat overbought and in the region of its October peak. 25.21mins Back to top
05-04-2019 Save Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes 58:19mins Back to top
04-04-2019 Save Platinum breaks out, palladium pulls back, Wall Street quiet ,China firm, Europe steady, bitcoin pull back, 22:04mins Back to top
03-04-2019 Save commodities rally, supported by a resurgent Chinese market, platinum cheap relative to palladium, bitcoin breaking out, Wall Street pauses in the region of a previous peak, peripheral Europe turning to outperformance, Australian firm. 33:14mins Back to top
02-04-2019 Save bitcoin breaks out potentially in sympathy with 5G or the continued recovery in mining stocks, gold stead, silver unwinds intraday decline, oil firm, Wall Street steady, China holds its advance, bonds steady. 24:25mins Back to top
01-04-2019 Save Europe rebounds with China. Wall Street firm, Sovereign bonds trim their rally, Pound firms on soft Brexit speculation, oil firm, resources shares turning to outperformance, Philadelphia semiconductors pressuring its highs. 26:58mins Back to top

March 2019

Audio Date Play Save Content Duration
29-03-2019 Save Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes 54mins Back to top
28-03-2019 Save Predicative power of the yield curve spread, bonds ease, stock steady, Eurozone weak, Brexit drama is an indictment of the political process, palladium peaks, precious metals weak, oil firms from intraday lows, India steady, China consolidating. 23:37mins Back to top
27-03-2019 Save The outlook for interest rates, commonality in government bonds globally, underperformance of banks, stock market steady, Dollar firms, palladium pulls back sharply, oil steady, Pound firms, 28:58mins Back to top
26-03-2019 Save Banks underperforming globally on flat yield curves. TED Spread is contained so the risk is to their business models rather than a credit event, stocks ease, bonds quiet, dollar steady all ahead of the end of the quarter, 21:22mins Back to top
25-03-2019 Save Yield curve analysis and discussion of what an inverted yield curve represents, Treasury yields continue to contract, gold steady, oil pauses, Wall Street quiet, banks weak, utilities breaking out, Europe and Japan likely to steady, QE4 a real possibility. 25:27mins Back to top
23-03-2019 Save Talk given to the AAPTA conference in Tampa Florida 42:47mins Back to top
21-03-2019 Save Fed goes on pause, yield curve spread contracts, bond market pricing in a rate cut, Wall Street rallies on a reduced headwind from liquidity contraction, banks pull back, Dollar rebounds, emerging markets steady, gold eases. 25:24mins Back to top
20-03-2019 Save Fed confirms dovish tilt. Dollar pulls back which boosts the outlook for Europe, commodity producers, commodities, energy and gold. US Treasury yields compress, taking the conclusion that the next move in interest rates will be downwards. 23:10mins Back to top
19-03-2019 Save Some of the topics discussed include: Semiconductors Index surmounts 1400 again, Wall Street pauses, commodity producer currencies firming except Rand, Mid Caps turn back to outperformance in Europe and UK but not USA, India firm, China pauses, Bonds steady, gold steady. 26mins Back to top
18-03-2019 Save Teasuries at a short-term resistance ahead of the Fed, China clears the way for outszied credit growth, ASEAN, India and Emerging Markets rally, Europe recovering, Wall Street steady, gold and oil steady, 23:46mins Back to top
15-03-2019 Save Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes 1h Back to top
14-03-2019 Save Pound continues to hold its breakout, Bond yields contracting globally, Indian Rupee breaks above the trend mean, Australian Dollar tests its lows, Industrial resources ease with China, but commodity exporter stock markets outperforming. Wall Street quiet. 22:55mins Back to top
13-03-2019 Save S&P500 pauses near 2800 again, technology leading on the upside, peak of the interest rate cycle, bond yields pause, gold steady, Pound surges, FTSE 250 steady, oil hits new recovery high, 26:42mins Back to top
12-03-2019 Save Stock markets steady, Pound extremely volatile as Theresa May's deal is voted down again, China pauses, US inflation below forecasts compresses yields and supports gold, oil pauses, wheat rebounds, lumber weak as trading margins increase. 27:03mins Back to top
11-03-2019 Save Technology share lead rebound, India firms as Modi strengthens in polls. Indonesia unwinding overbought condition, South African rand at potenital support, Brazil continues to extend rebound, Pound rallies, oil firm, gold eases, silver holds gain, bonds steady 27:57mins Back to top
08-03-2019 Save Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes 1h 2mins Back to top
07-03-2019 Save Some of the topics discussed include: Euro breaks lower on disappointing ECB liquidity provision news, Bund yields at new near-term rally highs, Italian yield compress, Eurozone banks weak, China remains steady, Australian Dollar under pressure at 70c. S&P500 pulls back and susceptible to additional consolidation of recent gains, Russell 2000 and SOX leading lower, gold steady. 29:55mins Back to top
06-03-2019 Save Wall Street likely to at least consolidate, ECB moving towards additional quantitative easing, Euro steady,China's rally continues to rebound, Australian Dollar testing the 70 cent area, gold and oll steady, lumber limit up, coffee retests $1. 27:52mins Back to top
04-03-2019 Save Cloud computing pullback suggests some retinence to support prices at new all-time highs. Amazon remains firm, China failed to hold intraday gains, Europe flat, platinum pulls back in a dynamic manner, silver approaching the psychological $15 area. Treasury prices firm, Dollar steady, 21:40mins Back to top
01-03-2019 Save Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes 1h2mins Back to top

February 2019

Audio Date Play Save Content Duration
28-02-2019 Save Odds of a global reflation trade are improving. China in particular has scope to stimulate, gold easing, oil steady, bonds ease but Gilts steady on increasing odds of a Bank of England rate hike if a soft Brexit is agreed. Australian Dollar eases, industrial resources steady 24:44mins Back to top
27-02-2019 Save Cohen and Powell testify in front of Congress, Wall Street little changed, bond prices fall, Pound extends rally and a soft Brexit increases the scope for the Bank of England to raise rates, oil steady, gold eases, palladium pauses following acceleration. India/Pakistan deteriorating relationship has little effect on assets as long as war is avoided. 30:33mins Back to top
26-02-2019 Save Pound rallies on soft Brexit enthusiasm, FTSE-250 in the region of the MA, Treasuries pricing in no rate hikes in the next two years, Wall Street pauses in the region of previous peaks, gold steady but coffee and wheat break downwards. 29:50mins Back to top
25-02-2019 Save Chinese shares surge higher, Wall Street posts muted response to improving trade news, MA& picking up in biotech, oil weak, Corbyn supports a second referrendum, gold consolidating, 26:47mins Back to top
22-02-2019 Save Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes 57:54mins Back to top
21-02-2019 Save Large impending IPOs could cause stock market indigestion, likelihood of Chinese stimulus improves, Australian Dollar still trending down which is a nominal support for Australian resources, EV materials discussion, Bonds and stocks ease with risk of consolidation increasing, gold pulls back from upper side of its range. 27:47mins Back to top
20-02-2019 Save China extends rebound, gold, oil, copper, nickel, Australia, Europe rally, Wall Street steady, small caps, banks and semiconductors are leading 23:35mins Back to top
19-02-2019 Save Wall Street approaching the next area of potential resistance, Bitcoin and gold at the upper side of their bases, palladium accelerating, copper breaking out, Treasuries steady. 23:52mins Back to top
18-02-2019 Save China rallies on liquidity proision, copper testing the upper side of its range. oil steady, gold breaks out. Dollar pauses. Treasuries exhibit a wedging pattern. 15:31mins Back to top
15-02-2019 Save Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes 57:41mins Back to top
14-02-2019 Save Coca Cola pulls back, Bond rally, oil breaks out of its short-term range, gold steadies, emerging market currencies encounter resistance in the region fo the trend mean. Europe steady in the region of the trend mean. India's oversold banks rebound, China steady, Mexico at risk of further deterioration. 30:31mins Back to top
13-02-2019 Save Wall Street testing potential resistance, Euro pulls back and Europe is reliant on how China plays out. Shanghai A-Shares bounced with H-Shares leading, South African Rand weak, gold weak, oil firm, coffee breaking down. Treasuries continue to ease. 28:44mins Back to top
12-02-2019 Save fears continue to abate on the trade and government shutdown fronts, Wall street firm, Amazon rebounds, Euro rebounds, Europe and China steady, H-Shares firming, oil tests the upper side of its range, 25:34mins Back to top
11-02-2019 Save Dollar firm, bonds ease, stock markets steady, gold pauses, discussion of Chinese easing, the outlook for inflation and the need for a higher reaction low before concluding the corrective phase has ended. 26:44mins Back to top
11-02-2019 Save Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes 55:08mins Back to top
06-02-2019 Save AUD pulls back, copper, iron-ore, nickel, oil firm, stock markets steady, bonds ease, Discussion of potential sources of additional monetary and fiscal stimulous. 17:34mins Back to top
05-02-2019 Save Google's results, modern monetary theory, energy intensity versus data intensity of economies, Wall street steady, Europe rises after strong earnings, Dollar steady, emerging markets firm. 21:31mins Back to top
04-02-2019 Save FANG stocks steadying, nickel firm, commodity currencies and industrial resources at important points of potential resistance, gold and oil steady, Dollar steady particularly against the Yen, European bank under performance hampers the Euro.. 27:18mins Back to top
01-02-2019 Save Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes 55.16mins Back to top

January 2019

Audio Date Play Save Content Duration
31-01-2019 Save Defensives returning to outperformance, Treasuries resurgent, gold has defensive characteristics, stock markets responding favourably to the Fed's moderation, coffee finds support near $1. 30 mins Back to top
30-01-2019 Save Powell Put confirmed, Dollar weakens, Treasuries, gold, stock rally, commodity currencies and industrial resources firm, Risk-on back in force. 22:45mins Back to top
29-01-2019 Save Gold and precious metals resurgent, S&P500 pausing in anticipation of trade war and monetary policy news, industrial metal miners turning to ourperformance, Treasuries and investment grade bonds are rallying. oil prices firm, ASEAN pauses, 23:06mins Back to top
29-01-2019 Save Bitcoin still trending down and pressuring NVidia, Is the market so steady because we now have evidence of a Powell Put? Gold steady, Wall Street rebounds off its low, Dollar eases, China quiet, Brazil pauses, India weak and led lower by its financials, oil at the lower side of a short-term range. 21:17mins Back to top
25-01-2019 Save Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes 59.04mins Back to top
24-01-2019 Save Eurozone comparison with Japan and potential for ECB QE3, stock markets generally steady with semiconductorsr and homebuilders doing well, continued demand for Treasuries, the Dollar and gold is steady, Governance is Everything. 27:24mins Back to top
23-01-2019 Save Some of the topics discussed include: stock markets quiet with positive earnings counter balancing trade and growth fears. Central Bank assets tick higher, 2019 outlook for Wall Street, ASEAN markets continue to outperform, crude oil and gold quiet, Bonds steady, discussion of risks in China. 24:42mins Back to top
22-01-2019 Save first sign the short-term overbought condition has run into overhead resistance. Bonds firm, gold steady, dollar steady, oil eases, risk parity is de-risking. 29.05mins Back to top
21-01-2019 Save London home prices, palladium is susceptible to mean reversion, China at a crossroads, major indices have replaced short-term oversold conditions with overbought conditions, Treasuries steady and oil steady 14:46mins Back to top
18-01-2019 Save Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes 57:49mins Back to top
17-01-2019 Save Short-term bought condition replaces short-term oversold conditions. what does a higher reaction low look like, palladium accelerating higher, Pound firms and Brexit commentary, China's global ambitions, Emerging markets remain steady, Dollar steady, gold steady, high yield spreads continue to contract. 27:50mins Back to top
16-01-2019 Save consistency of the Dow Jones' chart, bank earnings, investors seem to have adopted a wait and see approach to Brexit, individual emerging markets outperforming, China quiet, Tin and palladium clearly outperforming while aluminum is trending down, Dollar remains firm, differrence between now and 2016 is the Fed is tightening. discussion of the origins of populism. 26:58mins Back to top
15-01-2019 Save Some of the topics discussed include: Brexit deal voted down, Pound steady, China fiscal stimulus beginning,, gold appreciatating in more currencies, A lot of bad news has been priced into valuations, Big Tech rallies but still has work to do to repair technical damage, oil steady, cannabis shares rebounding, biotech and cloud companies outperforming, cybersecurity is a market perform, Treasuries continue to unwind short-term overbought condition. 37:36mins Back to top
14-01-2019 Save Markets quiet as potential areas of resistance at tested. Natural gas rounds emphatically. gold miner M&A picking up, Pound is steady but testing the first area of resistance heading into the Brexit deal vote, emerging markets continue to outperform 19:55mins Back to top
11-01-2019 Save Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes 55:16mins Back to top
10-01-2019 Save Liquidity conditions remain tight, 2-year yields test the MA, S&P500 at first area of potential resistance, signs of early upside leadership in biotech and cloud computing, gold eases, oil steady. 26:35mins Back to top
09-01-2019 Save short-term oversold condition replaced with short-term overbought condition so the real test of a significant lows will be if we see higher reaction lows and subsequently higher highs, Dollar weak, emerging markets, gold, oil and commodities firm, 28:06mins Back to top
08-01-2019 Save Wall Street close to the first area of potential resistance, Europe steady but still underpeforming, China unimpressive. High yield spreads rapidly unwinding oversold condition but also now at first area of resistance. The big question is where is the next source of liquidity going to come from. 22:13mins Back to top
07-01-2019 Save Dollar testing important support against the Euro, select emerging market currencies breaking out led by the Rupiah. China steady, oil firm, gold steady, sugar firms, grains and beans have base formation characteristics, high yield spreads start to contract. 22:36mins Back to top
04-01-2019 Save Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes 56:37mins Back to top
03-01-2019 Save Apple leads Wall Street lower, China remains under pressure, industrial metals trending down, safe havens conitnue to outperform, India, Indonesia and Brazil exhibit relative strength. 31:50mins Back to top
02-01-2019 Save China remains weak, stock markets globally look increasingly likely to unwind short-term oversold conditions but credit conditions remains tight and safe haven assets continue to perform, 32:53mins Back to top