March 2023
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31-03-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
49:43mins Back to top |
30-03-2023 |
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CMBS spreads rising, yield curve further inverts, stocks firm, bonds ease, dollar under pressure. |
18:05mins Back to top |
29-03-2023 |
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soft commodities breaking higher, dollar steadies, oil eases at first area of potential resistance, stocks firm, bonds ease. markets pricing in potential central banks will settle for a partial victory over inflation. |
28:57mins Back to top |
28-03-2023 |
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US dollar extends decline, oil rebounds, bitcoin holds breakout, bond yields steady, stocks ease, non-US markets fare better. |
24:56mins Back to top |
27-03-2023 |
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oil steadies, stocks eases into the close, yields rise, dollar weak |
22:35mins Back to top |
24-03-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
1h2mins Back to top |
23-03-2023 |
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banks break lower again, AI beneficiaries short-term overbought, gold firms, oil eases, bond yields contracting in preparation for a deflationary shock. |
12:36mins Back to top |
22-03-2023 |
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Fed raises rates and flags tightening credit as doing the job of tightening, gold firms, dollar declines, Nasdaq-100 downside key reversal, 2-year yield on cusp of breaking lower. |
22.10mins Back to top |
21-03-2023 |
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Fed meeting tomorrow. market expects this is the top of the hiking cycle and the return of easy monetary conditions can't be far away. With such a deep inverted yield curve and tightening lending standards I'm not so sure. oil rebounds, Tesla firms, dollar pauses, gold pulls back. |
21:49mins Back to top |
20-03-2023 |
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Bonds yields steady, banks rebound on open swap lines, dollar eases, stocks rebound, China bonds steady, stocks weak, gold steady, bitcoin pauses. |
21:51mins Back to top |
17-03-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
1h1min Back to top |
16-03-2023 |
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Semiconductor stocks rebounds sharply, bitcoin firms on the assumption liquidity is on the rise, dollar stable, oil firms. QT is generally followed by massive QE so how does that work with high inflation? |
28:07mins Back to top |
15-03-2023 |
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Credit Suisse accelerates lower, oil pares decline, natural gas weak, Wall Street steadies, Dollar, gold and yen firm suggest demand for safe havens is rising. |
20:06mins Back to top |
14-03-2023 |
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FANGMANT outperforming again on rate cut expectations, CPI ex-Food & Energy come in hot support rate hike expectations. oil breaks lower, gold steady, Banks pare rebounds, Japan banks drop hard. |
24.59mins Back to top |
13-03-2023 |
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US depositors now fully insured, 2-year yield drops sharply, Dollar weak, gold and silver strong, financials mixed. stocks steady but bank heavy indices lead on the downside. |
27:02mins Back to top |
10-03-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
1h2mins Back to top |
09-03-2023 |
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US money center banks rolling over. Tesla extends decline, dollar pauses, gold rebounds, emerging market outperformance ebbing, Yen firms, copper and ol ease, risk of a retracement of the October-March rally rising. |
25:06mins Back to top |
08-03-2023 |
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bonds yields stable, insurance companies and banks rolling over, soft commodities weak, oil and gold stable, dollar pauses, bitcoin softens. |
25mins Back to top |
07-03-2023 |
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financial conditions tightening again, 2-year yields at 5%, stocks ease, gold weak, dollar firm, cash and manageable debt likely to be deciding factor in survival for leveraged companies. |
21:36mins Back to top |
06-03-2023 |
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crude oil rebounds again from intraday low on speculation the Permian basin will peak in the next five years. Banks, high yields spreads and leveraged loans point to a benign outcome, inverted yields curve suggest recession is inevitable, the epicentre of risk is in frontier markets and commercial property. |
23:22mins Back to top |
03-03-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
1h2mins Back to top |
02-03-2023 |
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Advance-Decline Line tests MA, Tesla rolling over, Salesforce rebounds, Treasury yields continue to trend higher, Euro slightly weaker on rate differentials, China steady, PDD firm, gold pauses, oil firm. |
20:31mins Back to top |
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February 2023
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28-02-2023 |
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Quality stocks rolling over on competition with higher Treasury yields, copper, oil, gold rebound, natural gas extends rebound, carbon credits extend breakout. |
27:01mins Back to top |
27-02-2023 |
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are we still in a secular bull market or is inflation killing it. this looks more like an inflationary boom which is inevitably followed by an inflationary bust. stocks fail to hold rebounds, Germany bonds extend decline, Treasuries steady, China eases |
26:28mins Back to top |
24-02-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
1h1min Back to top |
23-02-2023 |
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AI stocks continue rebound but tech breadth narrowing, oil in a tight range, copper pulls back sharply, natural gas extends rebound. |
15:22mins Back to top |
22-02-2023 |
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oil and stock market at pivotal levels of potential support, dollar index at potential resistance. Global banks sectors outperform US, |
18:32mins Back to top |
21-02-2023 |
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bond yields jump on stronger EU and UK economic acitivity, tech stocks in both China and US retreat in tandem, natural gas accelerating lower, oil stedy, copper firm, Nasdaq & S&P500 testing their 200-day MAs. |
20:48mins Back to top |
17-02-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
50mins Back to top |
16-02-2023 |
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stocks ease back on strong PPI numbers, bond yields advance, oil eases, zero day options exacerbate intraday volatility, Tesla downside key reversal. commerical real estate is the epicentre of risk. |
19:14mins Back to top |
15-02-2023 |
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bitcoin extends rally, dollar firm, gold weak, oil steady, Wall Street steady, FTSE-100 new all-time high, weak Pound, China and Australia weak, India and Mexico firm. |
19:41mins Back to top |
14-02-2023 |
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bitcoin firms, inflation remains high, yields rise and stocks advance, oil rebounds from intraday lows, natural gas steadying, gold continues to unwind short-term overbought condition. |
19:49mins Back to top |
13-02-2023 |
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yield curve continues to invert, stocks higher on assumption inflation is falling, gold and dollar weaker, oil steady, |
16:17mins Back to top |
10-02-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
58mins Back to top |
09-02-2023 |
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bitcoin pulls back on higher bond yields, stocks waver, oil and copper stable. Frontier markets seeing pressure to improve standards of governance. |
22:07mins Back to top |
08-02-2023 |
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Japan inflation has not yet completed its base, China unwinding overbought, India steady, oil firm on backhanded support from President Biden, Turkey ETF as potential support, AI wobbles, gold still correcting. |
24:33mins Back to top |
07-02-2023 |
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correlation between bond yields and growth stocks cannot last indefinitely. AI stocks extend rebound, bond yields rise, oil firms, oil drillers breaking out. |
17:19mins Back to top |
06-02-2023 |
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geopolitical tensions weigh on stocks and further support inflationary pressures with bond yields popping on the upside. Dollar strong, gold eases, oil finds support at lower side of short-term range. |
22:26mins Back to top |
03-02-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
1h15mins Back to top |
02-02-2023 |
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tech stocks surge following Meta earnings but Amazon and Alphabet disappoint in after hours, dollar strengthens on ECB and BoE close to rate peaks, gold downside key reversal, oil eases, Australia's ASX overbought as it tests its peak. |
21:24mins Back to top |
01-02-2023 |
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Fed raises rates and calls peak inflation, stocks and bonds rebound, dollar down, gold jumps, bitcoin firm, growth outperforms value. Adani Enterprises crashing. China continues to rebound. |
17:32mins Back to top |
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January 2023
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30-01-2023 |
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China consumption disappoints, Wall Street pauses ahead of Fed, energy weak, gold pauses. |
20:43mins Back to top |
27-01-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
49:21mins Back to top |
26-01-2023 |
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Intel disappoints, Tesla discounting temporarily boosts demand, carbon credits and oil firm, European banks break higher, Hong Kong resumes trading with further gains, bonds yields steady, Australian dollar firm |
22:01mins Back to top |
25-01-2023 |
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near-term scope for rebound versus medium-term challenges, meanwhile emerging markets,gold and miners remain firm. |
20:49mins Back to top |
24-01-2023 |
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Australia extends rebound aided by the US Dollar's decline, Japan and Hong Kong also firm, India steady, Defense companies firm, significant single stock volatiltiy on the back of earnings, gold continues to firm. |
21:30 Back to top |
23-01-2023 |
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Risk-on gaining traction on Wall Street, bond yields and gold steady, oil pauses, bitcoin and fintech firm. |
19:59mins Back to top |
20-01-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
1h1min Back to top |
19-01-2023 |
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stocks weak, dollar hits news low so commodities steady, bonds yields likely to contracat over the balance of the year. |
18:26mins Back to top |
18-01-2023 |
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BoJ holds on to yield curve control fot a little longer, Yen reverses weakness, Nikkei unlikely to hold gains tomorrow, Wall Street rolls over as Treasuries rally, gold eases, oil reverses early strength in US trading, copper reverses early advance, several global markets are short-term overbought so at least some consolidation is likely. |
19:37mins Back to top |
17-01-2023 |
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Dollar steadies, S&P500 tests 200-day MA, oil firm, gold eases, bond yield steady 3.5%. Leveraged loans resurgent, China recovery remains intact. |
20:55mins Back to top |
16-01-2023 |
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VIX pops on the upside even though the US market is closed, short-term oversold Dollar means rebounds are at risk of consolidation, China rebound continues. |
19:30mins Back to top |
14-01-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
58:16mins Back to top |
12-01-2023 |
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inflation figures as expected weigh on Dollar, stocks and bonds rebound, gold and oil extend rebounds, non-US assets outperform. |
19:23mins Back to top |
11-01-2023 |
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bonds yields contract, stocks rebound, crude oil rebounds, Egypt pound floats. |
14:19mins Back to top |
10-01-2023 |
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stocks wobble on slightly higher yields, gold and oil steady, |
9mins Back to top |
09-01-2023 |
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China recovery continues, copper breaks out, bond yields compress, tech rebounds, dollar weak, brazil steady, |
21:38mins Back to top |
06-01-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
54:18mins Back to top |
05-01-2023 |
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Nasdaq-100 extends decline led by cloud services, dollar steady, bonds yields fail to hold advance, gold eases and silver working on a downside weekly key reversal, China extends rebound and related markets benefit. Mexico testing the upper side of a seven-year base. |
16:10mins Back to top |
04-01-2023 |
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China recovery gathers pace, tourist sector basing, tech still under pressure, bond yield compressing and gold recovering, oil and copper weak. |
19:33mins Back to top |
03-01-2023 |
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China bounce led by autos, Nasdaq declines led by autos, Europe and UK bounce one lower energy prices, Dollar strong, gold holds half advance, bonds firm, |
29:55mins Back to top |
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