Email of the day on precious metals and buying Ukrainian stocks
Comment of the Day

March 01 2023

Commentary by Eoin Treacy

Email of the day on precious metals and buying Ukrainian stocks

Could you please share your thoughts and help on the following two issues.

1. It seems that gold and silver found some kind of support after recent decline, both on the upper side of the underlying ranges, at about $1,800 and $21 respectively. Do you think, it can be so? Should we await them ranging for significant amount of time, as they usually do? Can this be just a short-term support after which decline will continue? And what about platinum?

2. Baron Rothschild is credited with saying, “The time to buy is when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own.” Also, John Templeton bought shares of more than 100 companies at the beginning of the WWII. I think, some investors may consider it worthwhile to look at the Ukrainian stock market today. But it is rather small, and information is poor.

In the chart library, it is even not clear what is the main stock index. With your resources, maybe you can look if there are any instruments available for international investors, be it Ukrainian ETFs or mutual funds. At East Capital, that specializes at East European markets, I found none. The same, at Franklin Templeton. Ukrainian leading firm Dragon Capital seems to offer just brokerage services and private equity, not asset management. I suppose, the Ukrainian market is too small to be considered for a separate fund but may be, say, an East European fund with Ukrainian stocks can be found. Also, 10-15 years ago, the Warsaw Stock Exchange, in an attempt to become the regional financial centre, courted Ukrainian companies as well so some of them can be listed there.

Eoin Treacy's view

Thank you for these topical questions. Let me take them in reverse order. I share your instinct in looking at potential opportunities in Eastern Europe because valuations will have certainly improved as a result of the war. However, it is also worth considering that the war is not over. In buying today one is taking the bet the war will be resolved favourably and minority shareholder interests will be respected in future. 

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