David Fuller and Eoin Treacy's Comment of the Day
Category - General

    CTA, Money Manager Unwinds Could Be Behind Oil Drop

    This trading note from Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:

    Crude oil has fallen the most in nearly three months, sliding as much as 4.75% today, and on its way to a test of the March 4 low at $60.52 per barrel. The move is probably linked to some unwinding of long positions from CTAs as daily price gains or losses of more than 3% can often trigger this account group to quickly unload. Watch for this unwind to continue if price action maintains this pace in the days ahead.

    Beyond that, money managers could be unwinding longs. This group’s crude holdings are the longest in more than two years, according to the most recent CFTC data. Let’s not forget Iran is swamping China with oil. Also, quarter-end window dressing can also get in the way of an otherwise nice trend.

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    Deutsche Bank Investment Banking Revenue Up 20% This Year

    This article from Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:

    Deutsche Bank AG​​​ said investment banking revenue has risen about 20% so far this year, as the market volatility that spurred gains during the height of the pandemic endured into early 2021.

    Chief Transformation Officer Fabrizio Campelli gave the outlook for the German lender’s largest revenue contributor at an online event hosted by Morgan Stanley on Thursday, saying also the firm has continued to win market share in investment banking. He didn’t give further details.

    Germany’s largest lender earlier flagged a “good start” to 2021, signaling that trading returns are helping to offset a weak economy. Credit Suisse Group AG and Societe Generale SA each flagged strong investment banking momentum recently, with the Swiss lender seeing revenue up 50% from last year.

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    ByteDance embarks on hiring spree in Singapore

    Thanks to a subscriber for this article from the Financial Times which may be of interest. Here is a section:

    Singapore is viewed as a neutral city by Chinese technology companies as tensions continue to rise between Washington and Beijing. Tencent and Alibaba both announced last year that the city would serve as a key international hub, with Alibaba spending half a billion dollars to buy a skyscraper in the heart of the financial district in May.

    ByteDance has not confirmed which of its international offices is its global hub outside China but its expansion in Singapore — it moved into a larger premises in a landmark office tower late last year — comes amid setbacks in India, the US and the UK, where it has been blocked or accused of breaching privacy regulations.

    “As we grow our presence in Singapore, we continue to look for the best global and local talents to support our business and augment local skills and capabilities,” the company said.

    The Financial Times reported last year that ByteDance could seek to separate TikTok and other units into a global business that was separate to its Chinese entity. Joe Biden’s administration is reviewing an executive order from former president Donald Trump that sought to force the sale of TikTok’s US operations.

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    BlackRock, Lombard Say Faster Inflation Calls Are Premature

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    “As the dust settles in the wake of today’s FOMC, we will be focusing upon whether any additional back-up in yields is accompanied by a further widening of breakevens,” said Richard McGuire, the head of rates strategy at Rabobank. “If so then this argues that the move higher in rates is sustainable.”

    But as long as U.S. yields don’t rise in a chaotic fashion, risk assets including emerging-market and high-yield corporate debt are expected to outperform, according to BlackRock’s Seth. “Rates can drift higher and still remain a positive backdrop for the risk assets, as long as the vulnerability is under control,” he said.

    A Bloomberg Barclays index on global credit returns has gained 11% over the past year, compared with a loss of 2% for a gauge tracking Treasuries. BlackRock switched to a neutral duration position in February from underweight. The fund likes notes sold by Chinese real estate companies and the nation’s onshore bonds.

    “The lack of correlation with the rest of the global developed markets also provides a diversification benefit,” Seth said of Chinese debt.

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    Lennar Shares Spike on Plan to Spin Off Startup Investments

    This article from Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here it is in full:

    Lennar Corp. soared after the homebuilder said it will create a spinoff with at least $3 billion in assets.

    The new company, which will have $3 to $5 billion in assets and no debt, will include Lennar’s technology investments, according to an earnings call Wednesday.

    Lennar, which said it made about $470 million on its investment in Opendoor Technologies Inc., jumped as much as 9.5% to $97.09 in New York. The stock had gained 16% this year through Tuesday’s close.

    Miami-based Lennar reported orders on Tuesday that beat estimates as it benefited from the pandemic housing market. It got also a boost from Opendoor, which began trading in December.

    Lennar said two other “technology-driven” companies it has invested in also have announced agreements to go public through mergers with special purpose acquisition corporations, or SPACs.

    Those companies are Doma, formerly known as States Title, and Hippo, the home-insurance startup that’s merging with a blank-check company led by Zynga Inc. founder Mark Pincus and LinkedIn co-founder Reid Hoffman

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    Tinuiti Acquires Amazon Specialist Ortega Group, Adds Kevin Mayer to Board

    This article from the Wall Street Journal may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:

    Ortega will likely be the first in a string of purchases by Tinuiti, which in December became part of private-equity giant New Mountain Capital and is hungry to broaden its capabilities. Tinuiti is in talks to acquire two other companies, said Zach Morrison, its chief executive.

    “We set out at the end of last year to find a partner that could take this from a hundred-and-some-million-dollar company to a billion-dollar company,” he said.

    Future deals will focus on resources related to working with the “triopoly,” he said, referring to Google, Facebook and Amazon, as well as marketing services around video, digital advertising and first-party data, he said. New board members, like Mr. Mayer, will also bring expertise in those areas, Mr. Morrison said.

    Mr. Mayer recently joined sports-streaming company DAZN Group as chairman. He served briefly as chief executive of TikTok and in senior roles at Walt Disney Co. Tinuiti also added Anneka Gupta, president and head of products and platforms at data company LiveRamp, to its board.

    Tinuiti, with about 750 staffers, had its strongest growth last year, as businesses sped up their investments in e-commerce and digital marketing to reach consumers in the Covid-19 pandemic, said Mr. Atkinson.

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    Email of the on solar power, desertification, and profitability

    This video is very interesting. It is hard to comprehend the scale of this project.  It is part of China's ''ending poverty'' project.

    Whilst the US has been engaged in adventurism in the M-E and elsewhere (right up till today) resulting in heavy losses, both financial and human cost, China has been powering ahead in leaps and bounds, spreading their sphere of influence far and wide. Interesting times.


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