Reckitt Has a $16.6 Billion Way of Fending Off Boredom
Comment of the Day

February 10 2017

Commentary by Eoin Treacy

Reckitt Has a $16.6 Billion Way of Fending Off Boredom

This article by Chris Hughes and Andrea Felsted for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:

Infant nutrition is a new area for Reckitt. The company’s traditional strengths were once in household products. Think stuff you put on the floor rather than stuff you pop in the mouth. Through a series of takeovers, consumer healthcare has become an important part of Reckitt’s business -- its brands include Strepsils and Nurofen. Baby formula is another new departure and will put Reckitt in head-on competition with formidable rivals like Nestle SA and Danone SA.

Believing this is a good move means believing the growth rate for infant nutrition will be much faster than Reckitt’s existing markets. Perhaps it will. While growth has stuttered in recent years, it is poised to rebound, according to estimates from Euromonitor International, a research firm.

The lack of overlap with Reckitt's businesses means cost savings are relatively low given the size of the deal – just 200 million pounds ($250 million) annually after three years. As a result, it will take as long as five years for the returns to cover the threshold 7 percent to 8 percent cost of capital.
That’s a long time to wait.

Some investors have been concerned about the amount of debt being taken on to fund this all-cash transaction: net debt will initially be about four times the companies' combined Ebitda in 2017. That concern is valid, but it shouldn't be overdone: credit ratings companies have barely blinked and leverage should fall quickly from that level.

Reckitt has done deals well in the past and probably needs one to regain momentum. Fourth-quarter sales were disappointing, with like-for-like sales growing a measly 1 percent. Guidance for growth this year is lower than analysts hoped.

Eoin Treacy's view

This is not the first time one Autonomy has consumed another and is a further example of how capitalism trends towards concentration. In the other words the large consume the weak. 

This infographic of the 10 largest consumer brands does not include Reckitt Benckiser and not all companies in the picture are publicly listed. It offers a good example of how successful incumbent companies have been and how challenging it is to capture market share from established brands. 

This infographic from CBInsights unbundling a supermarket highlights how many smaller companies are waging a form of guerrilla warfare to eat into the market share dominated by larger companies. Some will succeed spectacularly, others will be taken over but the majority will fail. 

Reckitt Benckiser is betting on population growth by buying Mead Johnson but it may take time for the share to digest the purchase which could result is a lengthier ranging phase. 

Back to top

You need to be logged in to comment.

New members registration