Hong Kong Stocks Have the Worst Start to a Year Since 1995
Comment of the Day

January 02 2019

Commentary by Eoin Treacy

Hong Kong Stocks Have the Worst Start to a Year Since 1995

This article from Bloomberg News may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:

Further evidence of slowing Chinese growth weighed as a closely-watched manufacturing gauge had its lowest reading since May 2017.

“There are a lot of uncertainties lying ahead,” said Banny Lam, head of research at CEB International Investment Corp. “The markets will likely be stuck in a downtrend over the next few
weeks.”

Property stocks were among Wednesday’s biggest decliners on the Hang Seng Index, with China Resources Land Ltd. and Country Garden Holdings Co. both falling more than 6 percent.

“Some funds are readjusting their positions for the new year and may be dumping stocks in sectors with an uncertain outlook like property and health care,” said Linus Yip, a Hong Kong-based strategist with First Shanghai Securities Ltd. “That’s why we’re seeing a sell-off.”

Further evidence of slowing Chinese growth weighed as a closely-watched manufacturing gauge had its lowest reading since May 2017.

“There are a lot of uncertainties lying ahead,” said Banny Lam, head of research at CEB International Investment Corp. “The markets will likely be stuck in a downtrend over the next few
weeks.”

Property stocks were among Wednesday’s biggest decliners on the Hang Seng Index, with China Resources Land Ltd. and Country Garden Holdings Co. both falling more than 6 percent.

“Some funds are readjusting their positions for the new year and may be dumping stocks in sectors with an uncertain outlook like property and health care,” said Linus Yip, a Hong Kong-based strategist with First Shanghai Securities Ltd. “That’s why we’re seeing a sell-off.”

 

Eoin Treacy's view

Hong Kong has some of the highest property prices in the world which are a function of extraordinarily low interest rates, abundant and persistent demand from well-heeled mainland residents. Tightening liquidity is a significant threat to that trend persisting while ebbing demand from Chinese residents amid downward pressure on the domestic economy is also a concern.

The Hang Seng Property & Construction Index trended lower for all of 2018 and encountered resistance in the region of the trend mean in December. A sustained move above that measure, which would break the sequence of lower rally highs, will be required to question medium-term supply dominance.

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