Today's interesting charts
David Fuller's view A
short-term look at Wall Street:
US
30-Yr Bond Yields (weekly &
daily) recently looked as if they
had entered a consolidation of gains since May, of at least short-term duration.
However, they have steadied before even retracing the last temporarily climactic
upside day on July 5th. They can still react, of course, but in a new upward
trend, most of the surprises will also be to the upside. A close above this
month's high at 3.72% would reaffirm the upward bias.
The Russell
2000 led the latest advance among major US Indices, looks quite overextended,
and it is also tiring (weekly & daily).
Today's softening is not a clear downward dynamic similar to what we saw on
May 22nd but it is a warning that a corrective phase is not far off. The NASDAQ
100 (weekly & daily)
was not lifted by Apple's slightly stronger than expected profits results reported
after last night's close (weekly &
daily). NDX needs a sustained push
above 3100 to reaffirm the overall upward trend. Similarly, the Standard &
Poors 500 Index is temporarily overextended and encountering resistance near
1700 (weekly & daily).
I maintain
that Japan also has outstanding medium-term upside potential. However, it is
currently correcting a short-term overbought condition (weekly
& daily).
WTI Crude
oil (weekly & daily)
is encountering resistance near its range highs since 2011. I have felt that
the latest rally was largely technical rather than fundamentally driven. Whatever,
it needs to move back beneath $100 to reduce this energy cost headwind. Brent
oil (weekly & daily)
had a smaller rally and has rolled over well beneath the February highs. A close
above $110 is now required to signal further upward pressure.
Gold
in USD (weekly & daily)
has seen a small downside key day reversal today. It is short-term overbought
and a close above $1350 is required to indicate resumed strength rather than
a partial retracement of recent gains.