Today's interesting charts
Comment of the Day

June 28 2012

Commentary by Eoin Treacy

Today's interesting charts

Despite the uncertainty associated with the outlook for the US, European and Chinese economies there were a number of companies that had continued to perform as if they existed in an alternative bullish reality and were until quite recently hitting new all-time highs. At the current juncture, it appears timely to revisit these shares

Eoin Treacy's view Monster Beverage – encountered medium-term resistance in the region of $80 two weeks ago and has now posted its largest pull back since 2010. At least a reversion towards the mean is underway and a clear upward dynamic will be required to check potential for additional downside.

Dollar Tree Stores – has posted its second large downward dynamic in the last month. While the progression of higher reaction lows remains intact, these downdraughts are at least a warning that the medium-term trend of demand dominance is being threatened.

Ross Stores – posted its largest downward dynamic in more than five years this week suggesting a process of mean reversion is underway.

Whole Foods Market – if the share remains weak through tomorrow's close, it will have formed a downside weekly key reversal. At a minimum, this week's high represents a peak of at least near-term significance.

O'Reilly Automotive - dropped precipitously yesterday on weak earnings expectations. Technical damage has been done and a process of support building will be required to help rebuild investor confidence.

Autozone - has dropped back to test the region of the 200-day MA where it will need to find support if the medium-term uptrend is to remain consistent.

Bed Bath & Beyond - dropped precipitously last week and has extended the decline this week. A sustained move back above $64 would be required to begin to question supply dominance.

Expedia - has encountered at least short-term resistance in the region of $50 and has probably entered a process of mean reversion.

In conclusion, the above shares represented some of the leaders on the Nasdaq-100. The fact that they are losing uptrend consistency and at a minimum are reverting towards the mean suggests an additional risk premium should be attached to the wider market.

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