Tim Price: Dotcon
Comment of the Day

May 23 2011

Commentary by David Fuller

Tim Price: Dotcon

Common sense and acerbic humour in this report from PFP Wealth Management. Here is a brief sample:
It's difficult to say precisely which was the most fatuous dotcom era business debacle. The turn of the millennium was a target-rich environment. The short-lived Webvan (online grocery) was pretty notorious, so it's interesting to see some Goldman alumni attempting once again to push water back uphill with Ocado. Pets.com (online petfood delivery) was also pretty facile, and it had a talking sock puppet mascot to boot. Boo.com (online fashion) showed that Americans did not have a monopoly on torching easily raised venture capital. The era also gave rise to a particularly radical business model: lose money on every sale, but make up for it in volume. So the inexplicable popularity of LinkedIn's recent IPO will prompt uncomfortable (or simply hysterical) memories on the part of those of us who lived through dotcom insanity the first time around. As far as this writer can tell, as a (free) user of the site, given the extent of unsolicited linking requests from complete strangers that it generates, the sole purpose of LinkedIn is to act as a rather grubby white-collar introduction service. Perhaps somebody, somewhere has gained commercial benefit from this lonely nerd referral tool, but one somehow doubts it.

But then there's no accounting for taste (or lack thereof). The FT quoted somebody from an anonymous-sounding wealth management firm:

"To some extent, investors are buying LinkedIn because they cannot get into Facebook. People are just desperate to get into social media."

David Fuller's view I too am a sceptic, hoping that LinkedIn holds up long enough and for a sufficient length of time to develop a discernable chart pattern because after the feeding frenzy, it should be a great short. Tim Price also describes it as "a glorified online rolodex at 578 times its 2010 earnings."

Back to top