The London Chart Seminar May 19th & 20th
Eoin Treacy's view The 
 recent London event was attended by delegates from 8 different countries - the 
 UK, Australia, USA, Ireland, Finland, Belgium, UAE and Sweden. The conversation 
 was quite stock specific but a common interest in the rise of the global middle 
 class was evident. I will write about this topic tomorrow. 
Discussions 
 on the Euro sovereign crisis, uranium miners, lithium, rare earth metals, the 
 Yen, the Dollar, Treasury yields and India all featured within the two days. 
 
Delegates 
 at both the London and Sydney seminars expressed an interest in uranium shares. 
 Confidence has taken a blow since the Fukushima accidents, the uranium 
 price pulled back but is currently showing relative strength and uranium miners 
 have pulled back sharply. This article 
 from Bloomberg suggests that the initial panicky response to the crisis is subsiding 
 and that China and India's nuclear expansion plans remain unchanged. Here is 
 a section:
None 
 of that reduces the power requirements of the world's fastest-growing economies. 
 China's economy will probably expand 9.5 percent this year, according to the 
 median of 11 forecasts compiled by Bloomberg. India's gross domestic product 
 may grow as much as 8.5 percent in the current fiscal year, Chakravarthy Rangarajan, 
 chairman of the Prime Minister's Economic Advisory Council, said on May 3.
 
 "Fukushima has made us pause and rethink some of our projects," Xu 
 Yuming, vice secretary general of the Nuclear Energy Association, said in a 
 May 12 interview in Beijing. "Of course, the overall plan won't be changed. 
 China faces power shortages and we need to change our energy mix. To resolve 
 these issues, we must develop nuclear."
Even 
 if Japan develops half of its proposed 19 gigawatts of nuclear power this decade, 
 the country, together with China, India, Russia and South Korea, will add a 
 combined 160 gigawatts by 2020, according to Bloomberg data based on figures 
 from the World Nuclear Association, Sanford C. Bernstein & Co., the Federation 
 of Electric Power Companies of Japan and South Korea's economy ministry.
Shares 
 such as Paladin Energy, Denison 
 Mines and Bannerman Resources among 
 others have pulled back to test their tsunami lows and have at least paused. 
 Clear upward dynamics would confirm the return of demand in the current area. 
 The Japanese crisis has probably delayed the evolution of a medium-term bull 
 market but is unlikely to have derailed it. 
Delegates 
 from both within the Eurozone and outside expressed a great deal of anxiety 
 regarding the currency union and its sovereign debt crisis. Despite considerable 
 negative sentiment towards peripheral debt and prospects for the currency, the 
 Euro is still a comparatively firm currency compared to the US Dollar, Pound 
 and Yen, despite some recent weakness. However, this is not to belittle the 
 regions problems which remain of considerable concern. 
Spreads 
 of Greek, Irish 
 and Portuguese debt over German bunds 
 remain on upward trajectories and CDS for the same countries reiterate the perceived 
 risk in such debt. Until recently, investors have spared Spain 
 and Italy from concerted selling pressure 
 but spreads over Bunds for both these countries look more likely than not to 
 trend higher. 
Delegates 
 pointed out that any form of payment delay or in Jean Claude Juncker's words 
 "reprofiling" of Greek debt would be treated as a default which would 
 trigger CDS and result in the ECB refusing to accept such bonds as collateral. 
 This would put the currency under stress and necessitate a recapitalisation 
 of the ECB by its member states if outright quantitative easing were to be avoided. 
 (Also see David's comments above on the Eurozone). 
I have 
 been arguing since at least March 
 7th that in a high price environment consumption efficiencies are a more 
 likely innovation than production efficiencies. Capital has been pouring into 
 battery research and development and Korean shares such as Samsung 
 SDI, LG Chem and Cheil 
 Industries are clear upside leaders which would be best bought following reactions. 
 
Lithium 
 mining should be a beneficiary of increased demand for the element in battery 
 manufacture. Socieda Quimica Min de Chile, 
 FMC Corp and Rockwood 
 Holdings are among some of the best performers and while susceptible to 
 some consolidation and reversion towards the mean, they remain in relatively 
 consistent medium-term uptrends.