Some of the World's Richest Brace for a Major Stock Sell-Off -
Comment of the Day

November 12 2019

Commentary by Eoin Treacy

Some of the World's Richest Brace for a Major Stock Sell-Off -

This article by Joanna Ossiinger for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:

Wealthy people around the globe are hunkering down for a potentially turbulent 2020, according to UBS Global Wealth Management.

A majority of rich investors expect a significant drop in markets before the end of next year, and 25% of their average assets are currently in cash, according to a survey of more than 3,400 global respondents. The U.S.-China trade conflict is their top geopolitical concern, while the upcoming American presidential election is seen as another significant threat to portfolios.


Still, it seems that wealthy investor caution is strictly for the short-term. Almost 70% of respondents globally are optimistic about investment returns over the next 10 years.

“The challenge is that they seem to want to respond” to short-term uncertainty “by really shortening their time horizons and shifting to assets like cash that are safe,” said Michael Crook, a managing director on the investment strategy team. Though with many of these people investing on a time horizon across decades and for future generations, that “seems like a mismatch.”

Eoin Treacy's view

The visceral experience of an almost 20% decline in the fourth quarter last year ensures people are eager to avoid a similar experience this year.

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