Sheila Bair: Fix income inequality with $10 million loans for everyone!
Comment of the Day

April 17 2012

Commentary by David Fuller

Sheila Bair: Fix income inequality with $10 million loans for everyone!

My thanks to a subscriber for this terrific article (also in PDF) by the former chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and published by the Washington Post. Here is the opening:
Are you concerned about growing income inequality in America? Are you resentful of all that wealth concentrated in the 1 percent? I've got the perfect solution, a modest proposal that involves just a small adjustment in the Federal Reserve's easy monetary policy. Best of all, it will mean that none of us have to work for a living anymore.

For several years now, the Fed has been making money available to the financial sector at near-zero interest rates. Big banks and hedge funds, among others, have taken this cheap money and invested it in securities with high yields. This type of profit-making, called the "carry trade," has been enormously profitable for them.

So why not let everyone participate?

Under my plan, each American household could borrow $10 million from the Fed at zero interest. The more conservative among us can take that money and buy 10-year Treasury bonds. At the current 2 percent annual interest rate, we can pocket a nice $200,000 a year to live on. The more adventuresome can buy 10-year Greek debt at 21 percent, for an annual income of $2.1 million. Or if Greece is a little too risky for you, go with Portugal, at about 12 percent, or $1.2 million dollars a year. (No sense in getting greedy.)

Think of what we can do with all that money. We can pay off our underwater mortgages and replenish our retirement accounts without spending one day schlepping into the office. With a few quick keystrokes, we'll be golden for the next 10 years.

Of course, we will have to persuade Congress to pass a law authorizing all this Fed lending, but that shouldn't be hard. Congress is really good at spending money, so long as lawmakers don't have to come up with a way to pay for it. Just look at the way the Democrats agreed to extend the Bush tax cuts if the Republicans agreed to cut Social Security taxes and extend unemployment benefits. Who says bipartisanship is dead?

And while that deal blew bigger holes in the deficit, my proposal won't cost taxpayers anything because the Fed is just going to print the money. All we need is about $1,200 trillion, or $10 million for 120 million households. We will all cross our hearts and promise to pay the money back in full after 10 years so the Fed won't lose any dough. It can hold our Portuguese debt as collateral just to make sure.

David Fuller's view In the funny money world, everyone can be saved…for a while. We could do the same here in the UK, as the quantitative easing is very similar, and also the Eurozone now that the ECB has introduced its own version of QE with its LTRO loans.


Sheila Bair's brilliant satirical piece conveys the longer-term implications or our monetary policies far more effectively than most economists, let alone politicians and central bankers.

I get the message, so I won't be too greedy in playing the carry trade with my fictitious 10mil loan. Instead, I will also have some gold (weekly & daily) for what I suspect will be the next up-leg, circa 2013, and possibly sooner. If I am right about this we will begin to see rising lows for bullion as it should now be entering the support building phase of its lengthy correction and consolidation phase, prior to a resumption of the secular bull market fuelled by monetary excesses.

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