Review of recession lead indicators
Comment of the Day

December 13 2018

Commentary by Eoin Treacy

Review of recession lead indicators

Eoin Treacy's view

The yield curve spread has been in the news lately and with good reason considering how much of a move we have seen in the last week and because it has such an impressive record as a lead indicator for future recessions. With volatility on stock market increasing and perhaps more importantly some stress becoming evident in the credit markets I think it is timely to spend some time to do a thorough review of lead indicators for future recessions.

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