Reconciling anthropogenic climate change with observed temperature 1998-2008
Comment of the Day

August 18 2011

Commentary by David Fuller

Reconciling anthropogenic climate change with observed temperature 1998-2008

My thanks to a colleague for this interesting report from Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS). I have selected a paragraph, which may surprise you, on the effects of sulphur in the atmosphere as a result of Asia burning more coal. It is posted without further comment:
Increasing emissions and concentrations of carbon dioxide receive considerable attention, but our analyses identify an important change in another pathway for anthropogenic climate change-a rapid rise in anthropogenic sulfur emissions driven by large increases in coal consumption in Asia in general, and China in particular. Chinese coal consumption more than doubles in the 4 y from 2003 to 2007 (the previous doubling takes 22 y, 1980-2002). In this four year period, Chinese coal consumption accounts for 77% of the 26% rise in global coal consumption (8). These increases are large relative to previous growth rates. For example, global coal consumption increases only 27% in the twenty two years between 1980 and 2002 (8). Because of the resultant increase in anthropogenic sulfur emissions, there is a 0.06 W/m2 (absolute) increase in their cooling effect since 2002 (Fig. 1). This increase partly reverses a period of declining sulfur emissions that had a warming effect of 0.19 W/m2 between 1990 and 2002.
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