Ageing Populations in Britain and Elsewhere Can Boost Economic Growth, If We Adapt
Comment of the Day

June 29 2015

Commentary by David Fuller

Ageing Populations in Britain and Elsewhere Can Boost Economic Growth, If We Adapt

The UK and other western economies face the prospect of an ageing population.

As the post-war baby boomers grow older, and people live longer, the number of over-65s in the UK is expected to nearly double by 2050. This is often seen as a problem for society, leading to higher health care and social costs, and increasing demands on the public purse to pay pensions. But there can also be positive benefits for the economy.

As people live longer, they can work well beyond their mid-60s while they remain fit and healthy. Already, this is happening. Over half of the increase in UK employment in the past two years was accounted for by the over-50s – 500,000 extra 50-64 year-olds in work and 150,000 over-65s.

This week, PwC published its Golden Age Index, comparing the performance of different countries in terms of the employment and earnings of older workers. The UK is in the middle of the league table.

The star performers are the Scandinavian countries, while southern Europe is at the bottom of the league. PwC economists calculate that, if the UK matched the performance of Sweden in terms of the employment of older workers, GDP could be boosted by around £100bn – over five per cent.

It is sometimes argued that older workers displace young people and contribute to youth unemployment. But this is just another version of the “lump of labour” fallacy, namely that there is a limited number of jobs to go around. In fact, the spending of older workers boosts the economy, creating jobs for others – both young and old. Indeed, Saga estimates that the over-50s contribute around half of total consumer spending.

David Fuller's view

Educated, entrepreneurial people are pacesetters in terms of older workers, not least in the financial industry.  Actors and actresses set equally good examples.  If you like what you do, keep fit and keep working.  It is good for the economy and good for you, being the surest ticket to greater satisfaction and a longer life.    

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