The massive policy U-turn by the Fed certainly played a part, and so did the move by the ECB to resume its own easing policies and monthly asset buying spree. We have officially returned to loose monetary policies across the board, and not only did this provide a boost to precious metals until now, but I also think it will persist into 2020, along with balance sheet expansion. I think another important factor was the renewed interest in gold by institutional players, as demand from that side of the market also picked up significantly.
Nevertheless, let us not forget that what we’ve seen over the past few months is just a gold breakout in USD terms. It is, of course, very noteworthy, but it is important to remember that gold has already been in a bull market in other currencies for quite some time. This bull market has started much earlier, but went mostly unnoticed, because everybody is just staring at the USD price of gold. All the while, in EUR, AUD, CAD terms, gold has been trading at or near all-time highs.
Gold does best when it is appreciating in all currencies. As a monetary metal, the times when it is rising in all currencies generally coincide with a loss of confidence in the purchasing power and integrity of fiat currencies. The efforts underway to support the Chinese economy and the knock-on effect for countries relying on exports to China suggests competitive currency devaluation is well underway.Click HERE to subscribe to Fuller Treacy Money Back to top