Gold Gains After Fed Officials Back Slower Interest-Rate Hikes
Comment of the Day

November 24 2022

Commentary by Eoin Treacy

Gold Gains After Fed Officials Back Slower Interest-Rate Hikes

This article from Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:

Gold rose for a third day as the dollar continued to decline, with the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes showing officials support moderating the pace of interest-rate increases. 

A “substantial majority” of policymakers believe slowing the pace of rate hikes will probably soon be appropriate, the minutes show. Investors now expect the Fed to opt for a 50-basis-point increase next month, instead of the super-sized increases seen at previous meetings.

Aggressive monetary tightening by the US central bank has weighed on bullion throughout the year by pushing up the dollar and bond yields. The metal has recovered about 8% this month, driven by bets on a slowdown in rate hikes following two cooler-than-expected inflation prints.

Eoin Treacy's view

The willingness of the Federal Reserve to hike rates faster than just about every other major central bank has been the primary support for the US Dollar. As the persistency of that hiking policy is now in doubt, the Dollar Index has been rolling over.

The Pound has now exceeded the big psychological $1.20 level and is testing the region of the 200-day MA. The willingness of the current administration to raise takes and to lay out a plan for restoring confidence in the public finances continues to support the currency.

The Dollar continues to extend the withdrawal from the psychological ¥150 level.

Gold continues to firm. It has broken the 8-month downtrend and has found support in the region of the October high. That is helping to support the view a medium-term low has been reached.

Silver continues to extend the rebound from the failed break below $20. That is increasing the odds for a run back towards the highs close to $30.

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