Freeport Slumps as Inflation Counters Bumper Copper Haul
Comment of the Day

April 21 2022

Commentary by Eoin Treacy

Freeport Slumps as Inflation Counters Bumper Copper Haul

This article from Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:

The company lowered its sales guidance for this year to 4.25 billion pounds of copper from a previous call of 4.3 billion, and raised its annual cash cost forecast to $1.44 a pound from $1.35 and ahead of the average analyst estimate.

Freeport sees the kind of dramatic cost inflation that is affecting miners now as temporary, although “time will tell,” Chief Executive Officer Richard Adkerson said on a call with analysts.  

For now, cost increases are being offset by higher output and surging prices, translating into bumper profits. Adjusted earnings more than doubled to a better-than-expected $1.07 a share. 

Freeport produced 1 billion pounds of copper in the first quarter, exceeding the 996 million-pound average estimate of six analysts tracked by Bloomberg. The result was well ahead of the same period last year, although slightly below a three-year high clocked in the fourth quarter. Freeport also produced more gold than expected in the quarter.

Eoin Treacy's view

Reporting bumper production but rising costs is symptomatic of the challenge facing miners. They will be reluctant to spend the money necessary to radically increase supply when they do not have visibility on inflation and interest rates. That’s particularly true when rising production threatens to put a lid of the appreciation in metal prices.

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