Email of the day on my personal trades
Comment of the Day

January 14 2016

Commentary by Eoin Treacy

Email of the day on my personal trades

Comments by you and David are greatly appreciated.  

Market behaviour is frightening and, because you have increased your gold position, I deduce that you are increasing insurance against further stock market deterioration. 

When I view the tech indicators attached to the following S & P 500 Chart, all appear to be above low points recorded in August.  The most recent slow STO also appears to show a non-confirmation of yesterday’s low.  The slide down the Bollinger Band looks more frightening.

A comment would be appreciated.

Eoin Treacy's view

Thank you for expressing your opinion and giving a voice to some of the emotions I believe many people are feeling right now. 

I increased my gold position because I believe it is more likely to close its overextension relative to the trend mean than to fall to new lows. That’s not looking very smart today but I still hold out hope. My opening of this position was not meant as code for some deeper thought or as a backhanded way of saying I thought the market was going to fall further. 

I was not prepared to buy stock market indices yesterday because despite the fact a number are back in the region of their August lows, I had not yet seen evidence that support had been found. Today’s action is more encouraging. 

 

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