Cocoa futures jumped to the highest in almost a year on mounting West African supply concerns. Coffee dropped to a four-year low. Sugar rose, while cotton and orange juice dropped.
Ivory Coast, the world's top cocoa exporter, and Ghana, the second-biggest, had an average of 1.25 inches (3.2 centimeters) of rain in the past 30 days, compared with 3.25 inches typically, Kyle Tapley, a meteorologist at MDA Weather Services in Gaithersburg, Maryland, said yesterday in a telephone interview. Inventories at warehouses monitored by ICE Futures U.S. have dropped 7.7 percent this quarter to the lowest since April 2.
“We won't know the crop losses until the harvest” starts next month in West Africa, Sterling Smith, a futures specialist at Citigroup Inc. in Chicago, said in a telephone interview.
“The drop in stockpiles is supportive for prices because it shows healthy demand in the cash market.”
Eoin Treacy's view The commodity market has returned to a position
where instruments are assessed on their individual merits. Among the soft commodities
the USA's weather situation has been making headlines but it's a big world and
the conditions affecting other agriculturals are equally worthy of mention.
Following a steep decline, London listed cocoa has been forming a base above £1350 for nearly two years. It has rallied back to test the upper side of this range over the last few months and a clear downward dynamic would be required to check potential for a successful upward break. The US listing has a similar pattern.