China's Plunging Market Has Become a High-Risk Bet on Xi Jinping
Comment of the Day

October 24 2022

Commentary by Eoin Treacy

China's Plunging Market Has Become a High-Risk Bet on Xi Jinping

This article from Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:  

Chinese stocks tumbled by the most since 2008 in Hong Kong and the yuan hit a 14-year-low after Sunday’s confirmation that Xi’s policies of stronger state control over the economy and markets will continue unchallenged for years.

Unlike in places like the US or UK -- where dramatic market reactions can force policy pivots or even overthrow entire governments -- it’s becoming apparent that investors are only an afterthought for Xi. That narrative was reinforced by Beijing’s move to delay the release of a raft of economic data without explanation, and risks further alienating money managers who are already leery of Chinese assets.

Investors have to decide if Xi’s policy objectives -- such as common prosperity and dual circulation -- are palatable, according to Hao Hong, chief economist at Grow Investment Group. “One has to examine whether these new sets of values align with your own” investment goals in the years ahead, he told Bloomberg TV on Monday.

Monday’s market reaction -- especially offshore -- suggests international investors are becoming increasingly leery of Xi, who has implemented tough curbs on one-time market favorites from Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. to education firms. With a new leadership team packed with his allies, analysts also expect little dissent against Xi’s Covid Zero strategy.

Eoin Treacy's view

The ejection of Hu Jintao from the Party Congress over the weekend has been much discussed. The headline is that he was experiencing health issues. That’s reasonable from an octogenarian. However, there is an eerie historical comparison.

Click HERE to subscribe to Fuller Treacy Money Back to top