Builders Hanging Help-Wanted Signs as Industry Rebounds: Economy
Comment of the Day

December 18 2012

Commentary by Eoin Treacy

Builders Hanging Help-Wanted Signs as Industry Rebounds: Economy

This article by Jeff Kearns for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
Construction employment in the U.S.is poised to rebound as a swelling pipeline of projects prompts companies to expand.

Builders in October had the most job openings and broke ground on more homes than at any time in four years, government data show. Billing by architecture firms, which typically leads construction by at least nine months, is climbing at the fastest pace since December 2010.

“You have a lot of projects right now in design and development, and as soon as the financing hits and the approvals are out, then the shovels go in the ground,” said Suzanne Breistol, co-owner of ConstructionConnection.com, a Marble Falls, Texas-based employment consulting service.

While construction payrolls accounted for 4.1 percent of all U.S. employment in November, a six-decade low, industry hiring will ripple through the world's largest economy, prompting manufacturers, retailers, landscapers, real-estate brokers and transportation companies to also take on staff, according to economist Mark Zandi. About 250,000 construction and related jobs will be created in 2013, 13 percent of the 1.93 million Zandi projects the U.S. will add.

“Construction is a small share of the job market, but it can be a very large share of job growth, particularly when the construction industry is in an upswing,” said Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics Inc. in West Chester, Pennsylvania. “A big share of the improvement in jobs growth that I anticipate will come from construction and anything related.”

Eoin Treacy's view The rebound in US housing statistics represents a powerful boost to sentiment, not only because of the improving employment statistics but also because people's homes generally represent their largest single investment. As housing starts increase and the general perception that the market has bottomed gained ground, homebuilders experienced a powerful rally.

Toll Brothers, Meritage Homes, D.R.Horton, MDC Holdings, KB Home and Standard Pacific all found support in the region of the 200-day MA over the last couple of weeks and sustained move below their recent lows would be required to question medium-term scope for additional upside.

Lennar Corp, NVR, Pulte Group, Ryland Group, Hovnanian Enterprises and M/I Homes all broke out of their respective short-term ranges this week; to reassert their medium-term uptrends. Clear downward dynamics would be required to check current scope for further upside.

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