Browning Newsletter: Weather Potpourri
Comment of the Day

December 16 2011

Commentary by David Fuller

Browning Newsletter: Weather Potpourri

My thanks to Alex Seagle of Fraser Management Associates, publishers of the Browning Newsletter, for the December issue of this fascinating publication written by Evelyn Browning Garriss. Here are some bullet points:
The moderate to strong La Niña is expected to strengthen and last through winter into spring. A strong negative Pacific Decadal Oscillation will magnify the event's impact on the middle latitudes, on the US and China.

43% of the contiguous United States is in drought and the La Niña will prolong the drought through this winter. This will have a serious impact on agriculture, particularly cotton, winter wheat and beef.

The drought will have a negative impact on energy production. In particular, the majority of gas shale sites lay in areas facing long-term risk of drought.

With a total of 19 Atlantic tropical storms, this year is the third busiest year on record, tying with 2010, 1995, and 1887. Only 2005 and 1933 had more named storms since record keeping began in 1851.

Recent research has shown a direct correlation of hot Atlantic waters and stalled weather systems. The same hot water that produced a busy hurricane system will prolong blizzards in the Midwest and East Coast.

The combination of the La Niña, the warm Atlantic and the recent polar volcanoes will produce another cold and stormy winter in the Northern Hemisphere. In North America, the West will be cold and the East will have a warm early and late winter and a frigid mid-winter.

Most of the US (especially northern) will have good skiing conditions.

David Fuller's view I commend the rest of this issue to subscribers. Both the text and graphics are very informative.

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