Article on investment trust discounts
Comment of the Day

March 25 2010

Commentary by David Fuller

Article on investment trust discounts

My thanks to colleague Mark Glowrey of Investors Intelligence for this interesting and timely article by Algy Hall for the Investors Chronicle. Here is a paragraph, although the most interesting item in the article is the table
And where discounts are wide, it's dangerous to rule out their predictive quality. The recent widening of the discount on top-performing trust BlackRock World Mining to 17 per cent, for example, is a great buying opportunity for commodity bulls who believe a strong market is set to continue. But for those investors spooked by the recent withdrawal of stimulus in China and the potential effect on demand for commodities, such a discount will look entirely justified. Moreover, discounts normally persist and widen if anticipated NAV falls come through. Discounts can also reflect particular problems in certain sectors, such as the illiquidity of the constituents of the smaller company investment trust sector.

David Fuller's view I agree much more with the article headline than all the cautioning caveats contained in the text. I have always liked investment trusts (closed-end funds) mainly because they usually trade at discounts to net asset value (NAV). To my simple mind, if I like the market or sector covered and can buy 1£ or 1$ for 90p or 90¢, or better, then that is a reasonably good way to play the market. Also, investment trusts usually have lower management costs, if only because they have been around longer. Also, I like being able to avoid front-end loads and punitive exit charges.

I know that it is normal for investment trusts to trade at discounts to NAV. That is why it can be a good idea to sell them when they occasionally move to premiums, possibly signalling that the market may have become too popular. I suspect that some of today's remarkably deep discounts to NAV have less to do with the absence of 'trustbusters' - a good thing in my view - than fear following two savage bear markets within a decade.

Investment crowds have always been manic-depressive. Despite the global stock market recovery to date, depressive sentiments can be detected not far beneath the surface of this cyclical bull market. Consequently some bargains remain out there, including in the investment trust sector. I would be interested in any similar coverage of the USA's closed-end funds, if any subscriber happens to see it.

For the record, three of the investment trusts mentioned are in my personal long-term investment portfolio: BlackRock World Mining (BRWM LN) (where I also opened a leveraged long trade in January), Aberdeen New Thai (ANW LN) and JPMorgan Indian (JII LN). I also hold Aberdeen New Dawn (ABD LN) although it is not listed in the table because the discount to NAV is currently only 9%. I may open an additional trading long in one or two of the others in the table, probably favouring Europe or the UK, because recent devaluations of the euro and sterling will help exporters and make these markets cheaper for investors in currencies that are stronger at present. However I have yet to study them all and I wanted to post the list immediately, so that any of you who may also be interested in investment trusts can commence your own due diligence.

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