Oil Slips After Saudi-Russian Revival Talk `Popped the Bubble'
Comment of the Day

May 29 2018

Commentary by Eoin Treacy

Oil Slips After Saudi-Russian Revival Talk `Popped the Bubble'


This article by Jessica Summers for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:


“Clearly, the commentary from Russia and Saudi Arabia popped the bubble,” said John Kilduff, a partner at Again Capital LLC, a New York-based hedge fund. “There’s some legitimate skepticism about whether or not they will follow through. There is going to be nervousness right up until next month’s meeting.”

Eoin Treacy's view

It is looking increasingly likely that a process of mean reversion is now underway for the oil price. The commitment to lower supply by both OPEC and Russia was one of the primary drivers behind the persistence of the advance over the last 18 months and that now appears to be over.

It is not unheard of for the oil price to be a net beneficiary from a risk-off phase in global markets but at this stage the increasing supply story is more important.

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